NBA Draft Master-Debating, Part 3

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First of all, let’s clear out the Hinrich comparisons:

Hinrich was a senior when he put up the stat line you reference. As a freshman, he averaged 5 points and 4 assists. Now, his being a senior doesn’t totally diminish those numbers, but if he had put up that line as a freshman, then he would have immediately been near the top of a lot of draft boards.

As it was, he went a respectable 7th in a loaded draft, behind Lebron, Carmelo, D-Wade, Bosh, the Kamaniac, and of course, Darko. Pretty good company though.

You don’t come out and say it, but you sort of imply what I’ve heard elsewhere: the Bulls don’t need a point guard.

Last year’s starter put up these numbers:

10.7 ppg / 45% fg / 6.8 apg / 2.9 rpg / 0.9 steals / 14.56 PER

Oh wait, no, that was Earl Watson. Hinrich’s line was a more modest:

11.5 ppg / 41% fg / 6.0 apg / 3.3 rpg / 1.2 steals / 13.13 PER

Hinrich’s PER puts him 32nd among point guards, behind such luminaries as Watson, Nate Robinson, Ronald Murray, Keyon Dooling and Chris Quinn. I don’t hear people telling Seattle or New York that they already have a point guard…

As for the Beasley-Glenn Robinson comparison, I fear I set up a straw man for you. Beasley stands to be better than the Big Dog, but how much is that saying? The guy had some good scoring years, but was he ever a contender to take a team beyond the second round? Not that I recall.

Beasley will put up better numbers — particularly in efficiency, as you point out — but I have a sinking feeling they’ll end up tied at 0 for championships. Maybe Derrick Coleman is a better comparison; maybe Carmelo’s even closer. Or maybe he’ll be a Vince Carter type. The point is that there are guys in the league who seem to have what it takes to get a team to the top and guys who don’t.

I don’t see it in Beasley. He could be an important cog on a team with veterans, but will he ever be the best player on a championship team?

I’ll gladly bet against it.

You do raise an interesting point about fads in valuing different positions. I think you’re right, but I don’t think it applies to Rose. I’ll try to sneak in a post on that tomorrow before draft festivities commence.

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